Runs Created= (((Total Bases) * (Hits + Walks))/(At-Bats + Walks))
Taking Runs Created into consideration, I sought to incorporate an additional concept factoring in the estimated amount of runs that a player costs his team on defense. I figured that typically with a fielding error, the amount of bases the defense concedes is one. Thus, four errors should equate to one run. All of the proceeding aspects being taken in consideration, the equation for Net Runs is as follows:
Net Runs= Runs Created - (Errors/ 4)
Now, I am going to analyze this statistic with current players. For my data set, I will use the top 50 offensive players in the MLB, as ranked by their Runs Created statistic, from this 2014 season. The first column of the chart shows the players Runs Created rank. The second column of the chart shows the players Net Runs rank.
RC
Rank
|
NR
Rank
|
Player
|
RC
|
Errors
|
Err./4
|
Net
Runs
|
1
|
1
|
Troy Tulowitzki
|
70
|
2
|
0.5
|
69.5
|
2
|
2
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
63
|
4
|
1
|
62
|
3
|
3
|
Jose Bautista
|
61
|
2
|
0.5
|
60.5
|
4
|
4
|
Giancarlo Stanton
|
59
|
3
|
0.75
|
58.25
|
6
|
5
|
Yasiel Puig
|
56
|
0
|
0
|
56
|
5
|
6
|
Paul Goldschmidt
|
56
|
6
|
1.5
|
54.5
|
7
|
7
|
Mike Trout
|
55
|
2
|
0.5
|
54.5
|
8
|
8
|
Nelson Cruz
|
53
|
0
|
0
|
53
|
9
|
9
|
Carlos Gomez
|
52
|
2
|
0.5
|
51.5
|
10
|
10
|
Michael
Brantley
|
50
|
1
|
0.25
|
49.75
|
13
|
11
|
Victor Martinez
|
49
|
3
|
0.75
|
48.25
|
11
|
12
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
49
|
4
|
1
|
48
|
12
|
13
|
Edwin Encarnacion
|
49
|
6
|
1.5
|
47.5
|
14
|
14
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
48
|
2
|
0.5
|
47.5
|
15
|
15
|
Anthony Rizzo
|
48
|
4
|
1
|
47
|
17
|
16
|
Hunter Pence
|
47
|
3
|
0.75
|
46.25
|
18
|
17
|
Justin Upton
|
47
|
4
|
1
|
46
|
20
|
18
|
Melky Cabrera
|
46
|
0
|
0
|
46
|
19
|
19
|
Jose Altuve
|
46
|
2
|
0.5
|
45.5
|
16
|
20
|
Lonnie Chisenhall
|
47
|
9
|
2.25
|
44.75
|
23
|
21
|
Brandon Moss
|
45
|
2
|
0.5
|
44.5
|
22
|
22
|
Brian Dozier
|
45
|
4
|
1
|
44
|
24
|
23
|
Charlie Blackmon
|
44
|
2
|
0.5
|
43.5
|
26
|
24
|
Chase Utley
|
44
|
4
|
1
|
43
|
25
|
25
|
Todd Frazier
|
44
|
6
|
1.5
|
42.5
|
28
|
26
|
Freddie Freeman
|
43
|
3
|
0.75
|
42.25
|
30
|
27
|
Nick Markakis
|
42
|
0
|
0
|
42
|
31
|
28
|
David Ortiz
|
42
|
0
|
0
|
42
|
21
|
29
|
Josh Donaldson
|
45
|
13
|
3.25
|
41.75
|
29
|
30
|
Daniel Murphy
|
43
|
7
|
1.75
|
41.25
|
27
|
31
|
Matt Carpenter
|
43
|
8
|
2
|
41
|
32
|
32
|
Alex Gordon
|
41
|
0
|
0
|
41
|
33
|
33
|
Adam Jones
|
41
|
3
|
0.75
|
40.25
|
34
|
34
|
Jayson Werth
|
41
|
4
|
1
|
40
|
36
|
35
|
Jacoby Ellsbury
|
40
|
1
|
0.25
|
39.75
|
39
|
36
|
Mike Morse
|
40
|
1
|
0.25
|
39.75
|
35
|
37
|
Robinson Cano
|
40
|
3
|
0.75
|
39.25
|
37
|
38
|
Dexter Fowler
|
40
|
3
|
0.75
|
39.25
|
38
|
39
|
Justin Morneau
|
40
|
3
|
0.75
|
39.25
|
46
|
40
|
Neil Walker
|
39
|
1
|
0.25
|
38.75
|
47
|
41
|
Christian Yelich
|
39
|
2
|
0.5
|
38.5
|
40
|
42
|
Jose Abreu
|
39
|
3
|
0.75
|
38.25
|
42
|
43
|
Shin-Soo Choo
|
39
|
3
|
0.75
|
38.25
|
49
|
44
|
Seth Smith
|
38
|
0
|
0
|
38
|
41
|
45
|
Xander Bogaerts
|
39
|
6
|
1.5
|
37.5
|
43
|
46
|
Alexei Ramirez
|
39
|
6
|
1.5
|
37.5
|
45
|
47
|
Anthony Rendon
|
39
|
7
|
1.75
|
37.25
|
48
|
48
|
Adam LaRoche
|
38
|
3
|
0.75
|
37.25
|
50
|
49
|
Brett Gardner
|
37
|
0
|
0
|
37
|
44
|
50
|
Hanley Ramirez
|
39
|
9
|
2.25
|
36.75
|
I took the liberty of highlighting the players that have the largest gaps between their RC and NR ranks. For the players with large positive changes (rank movement of at least 3 places), their names are highlighted in green. Then for the players with large negative changes, their names are highlighted in red. The greatest positive movement belongs to Christian Yelich, an outfielder for the Miami Marlins. Yelich moved up a total of 6 spots. Now, looking at the converse situation, Josh Donaldson, Third Baseman for the Oakland Athletics, owns the largest skid. Donaldson descended a total of 8 spots.
I understand that the probability of committing errors varies with each position. I also acknowledge that some of these players are designated hitters and have no risk of committing errors. This statistic is just an attempt to try to combine the offensive and defensive statistics of a player. I will work to try and refine this statistic for the future. A factor which I wish to consider for Net Runs in the future is figuring out the exact amount of bases that a defensive players error actually yields. I could even make the statistic more efficient through adjusting the equation so that the equation would produce the players net runs per game.
Net Runs Per Game= (Runs Created - (Errors/ 4)) / Games Played
Net Runs Per Game= (Runs Created - (Errors/ 4)) / Games Played
*NOTE THAT ALL OF THE STATISTICS, WITH THE EXCLUSION OF NET RUNS, ARE NOT MINE. THEY BELONG TO THEIR RIGHTFUL CREATORS. ALL DATA I USED TO PERFORM MY CALCULATIONS IS COMPILED FROM BASEBALL-REFERENCE.COM.*
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