Saturday, February 14, 2015

Pitching Productivity Rating

Since the creation of this blog, I have spent countless hours formulating and analyzing various types of baseball statistics.  Many having to do with offense.  Some pertaining to defense.  As of recently, I even devised my own statistic to measure a players all-around productivity, on a per-game basis, as seen in my last post (Individual Production Rating).  However, it had come to my attention that I lacked analysis for pitchers.  This comes as a surprise to me because I was a pitcher when I played, all the way through college.  Thus, I dedicated much time, as of recently, focusing on the analysis of pitching.  As a result of my meticulous analysis and experimentation, I have founded a new statistic for measuring the productivity of a pitcher.  This statistic, I refer to as the Pitching Productivity Rating (PPR).

For the creation of PPR, I took into consideration a pitchers individual ability to get outs (independent of his fielders) and his overall productivity.  In order to incorporate these concepts into PPR, I had to combine the statistics of ERA, WHIP, and FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) in such a way as to show productivity and value.  The equation I created is as follows:

PPR= ((ERA-WHIP)/(ERA+WHIP))*FIP

The ((ERA-WHIP)/(ERA+WHIP)) part of the equation focuses on a pitchers ability to  runners they enable to get on base, while focusing on low values for both.  I took the liberty of calculating the PPR for every pitcher from the 2014 season.  In order to validate the legitimacy of this statistic, take a look at the two players whose names are highlighted,  Clayton Kershaw and Corey Kluber.  These are the first two starters listed in the ranking and they just so happened to be the 2014 Cy Young winners of their respective leagues.  The pitchers are ranked as followed:

Rank
Player
ERA
WHIP
FIP
PPR
1
Wade Davis
1
0.847
1.19
0.099
2
Drew Storen
1.12
0.976
2.71
0.186
3
Kelvin Herrera
1.41
1.143
2.69
0.281
4
Aroldis Chapman*
2
0.833
0.89
0.367
5
Greg Holland
1.44
0.914
1.83
0.409
6
Dellin Betances
1.4
0.778
1.64
0.468
7
Craig Kimbrel
1.61
0.908
1.83
0.510
8
Huston Street
1.37
0.944
2.79
0.514
9
Jake McGee*
1.89
0.897
1.73
0.616
10
Tony Watson*
1.63
1.022
2.69
0.617
11
Clayton Kershaw*
1.77
0.857
1.81
0.629
12
Andrew Miller*
2.02
0.802
1.51
0.652
13
Bryan Morris
1.82
1.275
4.1
0.722
14
Joaquin Benoit
1.49
0.773
2.32
0.735
15
Brett Cecil*
2.7
1.369
2.34
0.765
16
Mark Melancon
1.9
0.873
2.09
0.774
17
Zach Duke*
2.45
1.125
2.14
0.793
18
Kenley Jansen
2.76
1.133
1.91
0.798
19
A.J. Ramos
2.11
1.234
3.21
0.841
20
Blake Treinen
2.49
1.382
3.09
0.884
21
Hector Rondon
2.42
1.058
2.26
0.885
22
Corey Kluber
2.44
1.095
2.35
0.894
23
Burke Badenhop
2.29
1.259
3.08
0.895
24
Zach Putnam
1.98
1.079
3.08
0.907
25
Zach Britton*
1.65
0.904
3.13
0.914
26
Pedro Strop
2.21
1.066
2.66
0.929
27
Dominic Leone
2.17
1.161
3.07
0.930
28
Jeurys Familia
2.21
1.177
3.07
0.936
29
Brandon League
2.57
1.46
3.4
0.936
30
Fernando Abad*
1.57
0.855
3.25
0.958
31
Jose Fernandez
2.44
0.948
2.18
0.960
32
Cody Allen
2.07
1.062
2.99
0.962
33
Pat Neshek
1.87
0.787
2.37
0.966
34
Steve Cishek
3.17
1.209
2.17
0.972
35
Jonathan Papelbon
2.04
0.905
2.53
0.975
36
Sean Doolittle*
2.73
0.734
1.71
0.985
37
Chris Sale*
2.17
0.966
2.57
0.987
38
Jake Arrieta
2.53
0.989
2.26
0.990
39
Jeremy Affeldt*
2.28
1.102
2.86
0.996
40
Kevin Quackenbush
2.48
1.104
2.65
1.017
41
Fernando Rodney
2.85
1.342
2.83
1.018
42
Tyler Clippard
2.18
0.995
2.75
1.026
43
Felix Hernandez
2.14
0.915
2.56
1.027
44
Darren O'Day
1.7
0.888
3.32
1.042
45
Santiago Casilla
1.7
0.857
3.18
1.048
46
T.J. McFarland*
2.76
1.415
3.29
1.060
47
Michael Pineda
1.89
0.825
2.71
1.063
48
Jon Lester*
2.46
1.102
2.8
1.067
49
Carlos Carrasco
2.55
0.985
2.44
1.080
50
Jacob deGrom
2.69
1.14
2.67
1.081
51
Joe Smith
1.81
0.804
2.85
1.097
52
Cole Hamels*
2.46
1.148
3.07
1.116
53
Garrett Richards
2.61
1.038
2.6
1.120
54
Adam Wainwright
2.38
1.031
2.88
1.139
55
Jordan Zimmermann
2.66
1.072
2.68
1.140
56
Jared Hughes
1.96
1.088
3.99
1.141
57
Jordan Walden
2.88
1.2
2.79
1.149
58
Dan Otero
2.28
1.096
3.28
1.150
59
Luke Gregerson
2.12
1.009
3.24
1.150
60
Danny Farquhar
2.66
1.127
2.86
1.158
61
Yoervis Medina
2.68
1.333
3.45
1.158
62
Trevor Rosenthal
3.2
1.408
2.99
1.163
63
Justin De Fratus
2.39
1.082
3.11
1.172
64
Yu Darvish
3.06
1.261
2.84
1.182
65
Josh Fields
4.45
1.226
2.09
1.187
66
Andrew Cashner
2.55
1.127
3.09
1.196
67
Kevin Jepsen
2.63
1.046
2.78
1.198
68
Zack Greinke
2.71
1.152
2.97
1.198
69
Jake Diekman*
3.8
1.423
2.65
1.206
70
Junichi Tazawa
2.86
1.19
2.94
1.212
71
Chris Hatcher
3.38
1.196
2.56
1.222
72
Lance Lynn
2.74
1.262
3.35
1.237
73
Mike Fiers
2.13
0.879
2.99
1.243
74
Hyun-jin Ryu*
3.38
1.191
2.62
1.255
75
Oliver Perez*
2.91
1.261
3.23
1.277
76
Jose Quintana*
3.32
1.243
2.81
1.279
77
Tyson Ross
2.81
1.211
3.24
1.288
78
Kyle Hendricks
2.46
1.083
3.32
1.290
79
Mike Morin
2.9
1.186
3.08
1.292
80
Jonathan Broxton
2.3
1.023
3.37
1.295
81
Tim Stauffer
3.5
1.399
3.02
1.295
82
Max Scherzer
3.15
1.175
2.85
1.301
83
Henderson Alvarez
2.65
1.235
3.58
1.304
84
David Robertson
3.08
1.057
2.68
1.311
85
Adam Warren
2.97
1.106
2.89
1.322
86
Jake Petricka
2.96
1.37
3.6
1.322
87
Cory Rasmus
2.57
1.054
3.17
1.326
88
Johnny Cueto
2.25
0.96
3.3
1.326
89
Cliff Lee*
3.65
1.377
2.96
1.338
90
Drew Pomeranz*
2.35
1.116
3.77
1.342
91
Anthony Varvaro
2.63
1.079
3.21
1.342
92
Alex Wood*
2.78
1.142
3.25
1.357
93
Gavin Floyd
2.65
1.252
3.79
1.358
94
Brad Boxberger
2.37
0.835
2.84
1.360
95
Masahiro Tanaka
2.77
1.056
3.04
1.362
96
Phil Hughes
3.52
1.13
2.65
1.362
97
Mike Dunn*
3.16
1.211
3.06
1.364
98
Dallas Keuchel*
2.93
1.175
3.21
1.372
99
Al Alburquerque
2.51
1.169
3.78
1.378
100
Tom Wilhelmsen
2.27
1.046
3.74
1.381
101
Vance Worley
2.85
1.211
3.44
1.388
102
Stephen Strasburg
3.14
1.121
2.94
1.393
103
David Carpenter
3.54
1.262
2.94
1.395
104
David Price*
3.26
1.079
2.78
1.397
105
Bryan Shaw
2.59
1.087
3.42
1.398
106
Alex Cobb
2.87
1.136
3.23
1.398
107
Anibal Sanchez
3.43
1.095
2.71
1.398
108
Scott Atchison
2.75
1.028
3.08
1.404
109
Collin McHugh
2.73
1.022
3.11
1.416
110
Madison Bumgarner*
2.98
1.09
3.05
1.416
111
James Paxton*
3.04
1.203
3.28
1.420
112
Koji Uehara
2.52
0.917
3.09
1.441
113
Tommy Hunter
2.97
1.104
3.15
1.443
114
Michael Wacha
3.2
1.196
3.17
1.445
115
Alex Torres*
3.33
1.463
3.72
1.449
116
Will Smith*
3.7
1.416
3.25
1.451
117
Dale Thayer
2.34
1.056
3.85
1.456
118
Marcus Stroman
3.65
1.171
2.84
1.460
119
Rafael Soriano
3.19
1.129
3.08
1.470
120
Jesse Hahn
3.07
1.214
3.4
1.473
121
Adam Ottavino
3.6
1.277
3.1
1.477
122
Todd Redmond
3.24
1.333
3.56
1.485
123
Joba Chamberlain
3.57
1.286
3.16
1.486
124
Danny Duffy*
2.53
1.112
3.83
1.491
125
Doug Fister
2.41
1.079
3.93
1.499
126
Fernando Salas
3.38
1.091
2.93
1.500
127
Gio Gonzalez*
3.57
1.197
3.02
1.503
128
Chris Archer
3.33
1.279
3.39
1.509
129
Jeff Samardzija
2.99
1.065
3.2
1.519
130
Chad Qualls
3.33
1.149
3.13
1.524
131
Yordano Ventura
3.2
1.295
3.6
1.526
132
Ian Kennedy
3.63
1.289
3.21
1.528
133
Sonny Gray
3.08
1.192
3.46
1.529
134
Carlos Martinez
4.03
1.41
3.18
1.532
135
Seth Maness
2.91
1.095
3.38
1.532
136
Carlos Torres
3.06
1.309
3.86
1.547
137
James Russell*
2.97
1.127
3.44
1.547
138
Tanner Roark
2.85
1.092
3.47
1.548
139
Matt Shoemaker
3.04
1.074
3.26
1.558
140
Aaron Harang
3.57
1.4
3.57
1.559
141
Nick Vincent
3.6
1
2.77
1.566
142
Mark Buehrle*
3.39
1.356
3.66
1.569
143
Jenrry Mejia
3.65
1.484
3.73
1.574
144
Kevin Gausman
3.57
1.315
3.41
1.574
145
Jeanmar Gomez
3.19
1.5
4.37
1.575
146
Yusmeiro Petit
3.69
1.017
2.78
1.579
147
Glen Perkins*
3.65
1.184
3.1
1.581
148
Jean Machi
2.58
0.95
3.43
1.584
149
Julio Teheran
2.89
1.081
3.49
1.590
150
LaTroy Hawkins
3.31
1.196
3.39
1.590
151
Francisco Liriano*
3.38
1.3
3.59
1.596
152
T.J. House*
3.35
1.324
3.69
1.599
153
Craig Stammen
3.84
1.266
3.19
1.608
154
Justin Grimm
3.78
1.246
3.2
1.613
155
Zack Wheeler
3.54
1.327
3.55
1.614
156
Gerrit Cole
3.65
1.21
3.23
1.622
157
Jerry Blevins*
4.87
1.238
2.77
1.647
158
Antonio Bastardo*
3.94
1.203
3.1
1.650
159
David Hale
3.3
1.466
4.31
1.659
160
James Shields
3.21
1.181
3.59
1.659
161
David Huff*
3.36
1.424
4.13
1.671
162
Jon Niese*
3.4
1.268
3.67
1.676
163
Tsuyoshi Wada*
3.25
1.24
3.75
1.679
164
Jason Grilli
4
1.333
3.37
1.685
165
Carlos Villanueva
4.64
1.391
3.13
1.686
166
Scott Kazmir*
3.55
1.161
3.35
1.699
167
Ervin Santana
3.95
1.306
3.39
1.705
168
Shawn Kelley
4.53
1.258
3.02
1.707
169
Shawn Tolleson
2.76
1.172
4.23
1.708
170
Tony Sipp*
3.38
0.888
2.93
1.711
171
Shane Greene
3.78
1.398
3.73
1.716
172
Phil Coke*
3.88
1.534
3.98
1.725
173
Tim Hudson
3.57
1.231
3.54
1.725
174
Rick Porcello
3.43
1.231
3.67
1.731
175
Jarred Cosart
3.69
1.364
3.77
1.735
176
Mat Latos
3.25
1.153
3.65
1.738
177
Ryan Cook
3.42
1.08
3.35
1.742
178
Brad Ziegler
3.49
1.254
3.7
1.744
179
Jesse Chavez
3.45
1.308
3.89
1.751
180
Odrisamer Despaigne
3.36
1.215
3.74
1.754
181
Hisashi Iwakuma
3.52
1.05
3.25
1.757
182
Edinson Volquez
3.04
1.23
4.15
1.759
183
Aaron Loup*
3.15
1.165
3.83
1.762
184
Edward Mujica
3.9
1.383
3.7
1.763
185
Brandon Cumpton
4.89
1.429
3.22
1.764
186
Jamey Wright
4.35
1.408
3.47
1.773
187
Drew Smyly*
3.24
1.163
3.77
1.778
188
Danny Salazar
4.25
1.382
3.52
1.793
189
Nathan Eovaldi
4.37
1.332
3.37
1.796
190
Brad Brach
3.18
1.171
3.9
1.801
191
Matt Garza
3.64
1.182
3.54
1.805
192
Brian Matusz*
3.48
1.316
4
1.805
193
Yovani Gallardo
3.51
1.295
3.94
1.816
194
Brian Schlitter
4.15
1.367
3.61
1.821
195
Sam LeCure
3.81
1.518
4.24
1.824
196
Charlie Morton
3.72
1.271
3.72
1.825
197
Josh Beckett
2.88
1.167
4.33
1.833
198
Tyler Matzek*
4.05
1.394
3.78
1.844
199
Brandon McCarthy
4.05
1.275
3.55
1.850
200
Chris Tillman
3.34
1.23
4.01
1.851
201
Brett Oberholtzer*
4.39
1.378
3.56
1.859
202
Casey Fien
3.98
1.168
3.43
1.874
203
Jason Vargas*
3.71
1.273
3.84
1.878
204
John Lackey
3.82
1.278
3.78
1.885
205
Wei-Yin Chen*
3.54
1.228
3.89
1.886
206
Neal Cotts*
4.32
1.335
3.58
1.890
207
Tom Koehler
3.81
1.296
3.84
1.891
208
Justin Wilson*
4.2
1.317
3.62
1.892
209
Wily Peralta
3.53
1.304
4.11
1.893
210
Randall Delgado
4.87
1.365
3.39
1.906
211
Hiroki Kuroda
3.71
1.136
3.6
1.912
212
Bartolo Colon
4.09
1.226
3.57
1.923
213
Mike Leake
3.7
1.246
3.88
1.925
214
Anthony Swarzak
4.6
1.488
3.77
1.927
215
Brian Duensing*
3.31
1.325
4.51
1.931
216
Brandon Maurer
4.65
1.335
3.49
1.933
217
Brandon Kintzler
3.24
1.337
4.67
1.942
218
Zach McAllister
5.23
1.442
3.45
1.959
219
Joel Peralta
4.41
1.184
3.4
1.961
220
Martin Perez*
4.38
1.344
3.7
1.962
221
Cesar Ramos*
3.7
1.355
4.24
1.967
222
Josh Collmenter
3.46
1.126
3.87
1.970
223
Homer Bailey
3.71
1.229
3.93
1.974
224
Jake Odorizzi
4.13
1.28
3.75
1.976
225
Justin Verlander
4.54
1.398
3.74
1.979
226
Roenis Elias*
3.85
1.314
4.03
1.979
227
Ryan Vogelsong
4
1.278
3.85
1.986
228
Scott Feldman
3.74
1.303
4.11
1.986
229
Ross Detwiler*
4
1.413
4.16
1.988
230
Tyler Skaggs*
4.3
1.212
3.55
1.989
231
Jason Hammel
3.47
1.123
3.92
2.003
232
Hector Santiago*
3.75
1.359
4.29
2.008
233
Jake Peavy
3.73
1.278
4.11
2.012
234
Kyle Lohse
3.54
1.15
3.95
2.013
235
John Axford
3.95
1.445
4.34
2.015
236
Chris Capuano*
4.35
1.387
3.91
2.019
237
Trevor Bauer
4.18
1.379
4.01
2.021
238
Joe Nathan
4.81
1.534
3.94
2.035
239
Matt Belisle
4.87
1.438
3.74
2.035
240
Wade Miley*
4.34
1.401
3.98
2.037
241
Daisuke Matsuzaka
3.89
1.344
4.21
2.048
242
Jimmy Nelson
4.93
1.457
3.78
2.055
243
Daniel Webb
3.99
1.493
4.52
2.058
244
Chase Anderson
4.01
1.373
4.22
2.067
245
Robbie Erlin*
4.99
1.402
3.69
2.071
246
Kyle Gibson
4.47
1.31
3.8
2.078
247
Ronald Belisario
5.56
1.447
3.54
2.078
248
Jered Weaver
3.59
1.209
4.19
2.079
249
Alfredo Simon
3.44
1.207
4.33
2.081
250
David Buchanan
3.75
1.292
4.27
2.082
251
Miguel Gonzalez
3.23
1.296
4.89
2.090
252
Bud Norris
3.65
1.216
4.22
2.111
253
Jeremy Hellickson
4.52
1.445
4.15
2.139
254
Rubby De La Rosa
4.43
1.485
4.3
2.141
255
Grant Balfour
4.91
1.444
3.95
2.155
256
Trevor Cahill
5.61
1.608
3.89
2.157
257
Drew Hutchison
4.48
1.262
3.85
2.158
258
J.C. Gutierrez
3.96
1.194
4.03
2.163
259
R.A. Dickey
3.71
1.229
4.32
2.170
260
A.J. Burnett
4.59
1.409
4.14
2.195
261
Jordan Lyles
4.33
1.366
4.22
2.196
262
Brad Hand*
4.38
1.36
4.2
2.210
263
J.A. Happ*
4.22
1.335
4.26
2.212
264
Mike Bolsinger
5.5
1.586
4.01
2.215
265
C.J. Wilson*
4.51
1.446
4.31
2.217
266
Jeff Locke*
3.91
1.272
4.37
2.225
267
Sam Deduno
4.47
1.421
4.31
2.231
268
Shelby Miller
3.74
1.273
4.54
2.234
269
Tommy Kahnle
4.19
1.194
4.02
2.237
270
Dan Haren
4.02
1.177
4.09
2.237
271
Addison Reed
4.25
1.213
4.03
2.240
272
Bronson Arroyo
4.08
1.291
4.32
2.243
273
David Phelps
4.38
1.425
4.41
2.245
274
Joe Kelly
4.2
1.349
4.37
2.245
275
Jeremy Guthrie
4.13
1.303
4.32
2.248
276
Jerome Williams
4.77
1.4
4.16
2.272
277
Jared Burton
4.36
1.297
4.23
2.290
278
Erik Bedard*
4.76
1.493
4.39
2.294
279
Francisco Rodriguez
3.04
0.985
4.5
2.298
280
Josh Tomlin
4.76
1.288
4.01
2.302
281
Yohan Pino
5.07
1.326
3.94
2.306
282
Chase Whitley
5.23
1.48
4.14
2.314
283
Jorge De La Rosa*
4.1
1.237
4.34
2.328
284
Travis Wood*
5.03
1.532
4.38
2.335
285
Sergio Romo
3.72
0.948
3.94
2.340
286
Tommy Milone*
4.19
1.398
4.69
2.343
287
Tim Lincecum
4.74
1.394
4.31
2.351
288
Mike Minor*
4.77
1.438
4.39
2.356
289
Clay Buchholz
5.34
1.386
4.01
2.357
290
Dillon Gee
4
1.245
4.52
2.374
291
Eric Stults*
4.3
1.375
4.63
2.386
292
Roberto Hernandez
4.1
1.391
4.85
2.393
293
Allen Webster
5.03
1.458
4.35
2.395
294
Ricky Nolasco
5.38
1.516
4.3
2.409
295
Ubaldo Jimenez
4.81
1.516
4.67
2.432
296
Colby Lewis
5.18
1.521
4.46
2.435
297
Jacob Turner
6.13
1.602
4.16
2.436
298
Matt Cain
4.18
1.251
4.58
2.470
299
Kyle Kendrick
4.61
1.362
4.57
2.485
300
Chris Young
3.65
1.23
5.02
2.489
301
Yohan Flande*
5.19
1.203
4
2.495
302
Brad Peacock
4.72
1.565
4.99
2.505
303
Rex Brothers*
5.59
1.846
4.98
2.507
304
Scott Carroll
4.8
1.485
4.77
2.516
305
Brandon Workman
5.17
1.425
4.44
2.521
306
Dustin McGowan
4.17
1.378
5.02
2.526
307
Nick Martinez
4.55
1.461
4.94
2.539
308
John Danks*
4.74
1.441
4.76
2.541
309
Justin Masterson
5.88
1.632
4.5
2.545
310
Paul Maholm*
4.84
1.557
4.96
2.546
311
Vidal Nuno*
4.56
1.256
4.51
2.562
312
Edwin Jackson
6.33
1.642
4.45
2.617
313
Nick Tepesch
4.36
1.365
5.01
2.621
314
Kevin Correia
5.44
1.5
4.67
2.651
315
Tony Cingrani*
4.55
1.532
5.37
2.665
316
Hector Noesi
4.75
1.369
4.83
2.669
317
Robbie Ross*
6.2
1.698
4.74
2.702
318
J.J. Hoover
4.88
1.388
4.97
2.769
319
Christian Bergman
5.93
1.555
4.74
2.771
320
Marco Estrada
4.36
1.201
4.88
2.772
321
Jhoulys Chacin
5.4
1.437
4.82
2.794
322
Craig Breslow*
5.96
1.859
5.34
2.801
323
Aaron Crow
4.12
1.288
5.4
2.828
324
Felix Doubront*
5.54
1.556
5.13
2.880
325
Jim Johnson
7.09
1.95
5.08
2.888
326
Franklin Morales*
5.37
1.623
5.42
2.904
327
Erasmo Ramirez
5.26
1.54
5.38
2.943
328
Miles Mikolas
6.44
1.43
4.77
3.037
329
Scott Baker
5.47
1.19
4.78
3.072
330
Juan Nicasio
5.38
1.473
5.45
3.107
331
Andre Rienzo
6.82
1.778
5.73
3.360
332
Dan Straily
6.75
1.481
5.32
3.406