Showing posts with label David Ortiz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Ortiz. Show all posts

Sunday, August 24, 2014

First to Worst, then Back to First? (A. Littlefield)

Rusney Castillo, and a bunch of other reasons the Sox will be at the top of the AL East next year
Call this piece a wish list, a dream, anything really. This is my list of optimistic, idealistic reasons, why the Red Sox will be in the hunt for another title next year. To address some of the questions that may arise: No, I have not been drinking. Yes, I really think some of this might happen. Castillo is awesome; we might as well go all in on some pitching and a trade for Stanton.

1.       Tampa doesn’t have David Price anymore. That’s kind of a big deal. He’s a perennial Cy Young contender and now he’s in a different division. That’s a gift from god. Boston is about the only team that can hit him regularly so it’s nice to see his 18-ish wins elsewhere.

2.       The Yankees suck. Like bad. Like name someone outside of their outfield not named Derek Jeter.  And chances are you can only name one of the three outfield starters. Right now they have Stephen Drew on second(Offense isn’t important, defense wins championships, like, duh), Chase Headley on third(one good year does not a superstar make), Teixeira on first(he’s going downhill faster than Picabo Street), and McCann is hanging out behind the plate being totally average. Let’s go BoSox, we got this next year.

3.       Jon Lester wants to come back. The letters, the leaks, as long as ownership doesn’t go all Ebenezer Scrooge on the first offer, he’ll be back here. And even more importantly, we need him. We’re about to be incredibly young, and crazy athletic. I’m going to readdress this later. Because bet on it now, he’s coming back.

4.       We can now package Jackie Bradley Jr. who still has crazy upside with possibly Mookie Betts and Alan Webster (maybe) for Giancarlo Stanton. We can also throw in Allen Craig and Will Middlebrooks (since he married Jenny Dell I’ve been hoping they send him to the North Korean League). Miami likes young guys and they aren’t even close to willing to pay Stanton what he’s worth. This prospect brings me back to #3…

5.       (Actually 3b.) Lester is coming back. He would be pitching with an outfield that has two uber-athletic Cuban defectors and Stanton. All three play defense and two out of the three have hit balls that are somewhere between Mars and Jupiter by now. We’re going to have offense. Try to figure out how you put together a lineup that includes Pedroia, Cespedes, Napoli, Ortiz, Bogaerts(If he performs as expected), and Stanton. Correct answer: Pick names out of a hat and watch the offense destroy opposing pitching. What pitcher would look forward to that line-up?

6.       Castillo, where this all began. We gave him 72.5 for 7 years. By comparison we gave Stephen Drew 10 for 1 year and we knew he didn’t have any upside. Castillo is 27, the same age Abreu was this year, and he’s already polished as a defensive and offensive player. He can play short, he’s best in center, and he’s filthy good. The hype is that he looks like Puig or Andrew McCutchen… yeah, they compared him to Cutch. We’re about to see one hell of an outfield.

7.       Boston is an Irish town, so we’ll end on lucky number seven. Cespedes’ Arm, nuff said. If you don’t know what I’m talking about you should watch this, or this, or this… or this if you need to be reminded of his 2013 Home Run Derby performance. He crushes dreams with his arm, crushes balls with his bat.

It’s Boston; we’ll sign some people, trade some people, and be back in it next year. This isn’t the mid-late 90’s, this is post-curse baseball. 2015 is going to be a great year. Worst to first to worst to first… it can and will be done.

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Updated MLB Offensive Values (By: M. Lessard)


I just wanted to provide some updated offensive values and rankings for this 2014 MLB Season.  All of the statistics below are my own created values.

Rk
Name
IOR
OTCR
Off. Production Rating
1
Troy Tulowitzki
0.501
0.341
0.736
2
Giancarlo Stanton
0.504
0.304
0.693
3
Mike Trout
0.467
0.336
0.662
4
Jose Bautista
0.487
0.298
0.652
5
Jose Abreu
0.460
0.335
0.647
6
Victor Martinez#
0.485
0.293
0.643
7
Andrew McCutchen
0.495
0.276
0.642
8
Edwin Encarnacion
0.453
0.339
0.640
9
Paul Goldschmidt
0.472
0.307
0.634
10
Corey Dickerson*
0.460
0.308
0.613
11
Devin Mesoraco
0.443
0.330
0.611
12
Michael Brantley*
0.446
0.319
0.602
13
Robinson Cano*
0.467
0.256
0.567
14
Miguel Cabrera
0.413
0.333
0.563
15
Anthony Rizzo*
0.450
0.276
0.557
16
Derek Norris
0.439
0.282
0.544
17
Carlos Gomez
0.440
0.279
0.543
18
J.D. Martinez
0.411
0.314
0.535
19
David Ortiz*
0.432
0.283
0.534
20
Jose Altuve
0.478
0.195
0.532
21
Adrian Beltre
0.426
0.291
0.531
22
Yasiel Puig
0.443
0.262
0.530
23
Adam LaRoche*
0.426
0.283
0.524
24
Lucas Duda*
0.428
0.280
0.523
25
Nelson Cruz
0.413
0.299
0.521
26
Coco Crisp#
0.436
0.262
0.519
27
Josh Donaldson
0.400
0.312
0.515
28
George Springer
0.420
0.284
0.515
29
Hanley Ramirez
0.429
0.268
0.512
30
Ryan Braun
0.401
0.304
0.507
31
Drew Stubbs
0.421
0.274
0.506
32
Justin Upton
0.414
0.283
0.504
33
Josh Harrison
0.425
0.264
0.501
34
Brett Gardner*
0.417
0.276
0.500
35
Brian Dozier
0.414
0.272
0.491
36
Todd Frazier
0.416
0.264
0.486
37
Jacoby Ellsbury*
0.436
0.229
0.485
38
Brandon Moss*
0.400
0.283
0.481
39
Anthony Rendon
0.388
0.300
0.481
40
Melky Cabrera#
0.415
0.260
0.480
41
Freddie Freeman*
0.411
0.266
0.480
42
Jayson Werth
0.409
0.267
0.478
43
Adrian Gonzalez*
0.386
0.299
0.476
44
Mark Teixeira#
0.397
0.282
0.474
45
Rajai Davis
0.419
0.242
0.468
46
Seth Smith*
0.425
0.230
0.466
47
Albert Pujols
0.391
0.281
0.464
48
Chase Utley*
0.405
0.260
0.464
49
Dee Gordon*
0.441
0.191
0.463
50
Charlie Blackmon*
0.407
0.256
0.462
51
Carlos Santana#
0.423
0.229
0.462
52
Jonathan Lucroy
0.417
0.239
0.462
53
Justin Morneau*
0.389
0.278
0.458
54
Alex Gordon*
0.404
0.249
0.450
55
Matt Holliday
0.402
0.251
0.450
56
Billy Hamilton#
0.403
0.250
0.449
57
Mike Napoli
0.430
0.195
0.446
58
Scooter Gennett*
0.388
0.268
0.445
59
Neil Walker#
0.393
0.258
0.442
60
Evan Gattis
0.397
0.251
0.442
61
Lonnie Chisenhall*
0.390
0.262
0.441
62
Yoenis Cespedes
0.353
0.308
0.440
63
Matt Kemp
0.400
0.241
0.437
64
Matthew Joyce*
0.398
0.245
0.437
65
Chris Carter
0.371
0.284
0.436
66
Aramis Ramirez
0.384
0.266
0.435
67
Marlon Byrd
0.385
0.263
0.435
68
Hunter Pence
0.392
0.251
0.434
69
Christian Yelich*
0.396
0.246
0.434
70
Adam Jones
0.371
0.282
0.434
71
Matt Carpenter*
0.400
0.239
0.434
72
Kole Calhoun*
0.380
0.270
0.434
73
Kyle Seager*
0.392
0.251
0.432
74
Ben Zobrist#
0.414
0.209
0.430
75
Nolan Arenado
0.368
0.282
0.430
76
Miguel Montero*
0.392
0.246
0.429
77
Yan Gomes
0.376
0.268
0.427
78
Dexter Fowler#
0.416
0.201
0.427
79
Angel Pagan#
0.413
0.206
0.426
80
Jason Heyward*
0.408
0.213
0.424
81
Adam Dunn*
0.403
0.221
0.421
82
Torii Hunter
0.355
0.290
0.420
83
Khris Davis
0.355
0.289
0.420
84
Buster Posey
0.386
0.247
0.419
85
Jay Bruce*
0.373
0.265
0.418
86
Lorenzo Cain
0.398
0.225
0.417
87
Josh Hamilton*
0.389
0.240
0.417
88
Denard Span*
0.407
0.206
0.416
89
Jose Reyes#
0.398
0.223
0.416
90
Kolten Wong*
0.386
0.242
0.415
91
Alexei Ramirez
0.382
0.247
0.415
92
Daniel Murphy*
0.391
0.234
0.415
93
Adam Eaton*
0.401
0.215
0.414
94
Starling Marte
0.403
0.210
0.413
95
Juan Francisco*
0.354
0.285
0.413
96
Evan Longoria
0.380
0.249
0.412
97
Chris Davis*
0.369
0.260
0.407
98
Jimmy Rollins#
0.389
0.228
0.407
99
Ian Kinsler
0.361
0.270
0.407
100
Curtis Granderson*
0.387
0.224
0.400

Please refer to The Inaugural Post for the explanations of both IOR and OTCR.  For the updated equation for IOR, refer to Just Some of the G.O.A.T. (By: M. Lessard).  I also sought to correct the weight for my equation for OTCR.  Having addressed the weight issue, the new equation for OTCR is as follows:

OTCR= (RBI + Runs + SAC) / Plate-Appearances

In the chart above, you must have noticed the Offensive Production Rating column.  I made the Offensive Production Rating statistic in order to justly take into consideration both IOR and OTCR.  However, IOR is the more important statistic because it deals with a players individual offensive production.  The equation I concocted for the Offensive Production Rating is as follows:

OPR= (IOR + OTCR)^2 + (IOR - OTCR)^2

The players who have their names highlighted in green are either top rookies or other players who are having a breakout season this year.  Only players in the top 50 I considered for highlighting.

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