I personally want to apologize for the recent hiatus between my posts, for I pursued some much needed rest. With that being said, I continue my analysis posts with an introduction piece for a new statistic that I have been working on, Individual Production Rating (IPR). This statistic may be one for serious deliberation in the baseball statistical analysis realm, for it combines and considers both a players offensive and defensive abilities. Setting aside any bias I might have due to this statistic being my own, I firmly believe that IPR can give WAR a run for its money. However, due to having not figured out a proper weighting, I can only use IPR to compare players of the same position. IPR is measured on a per-game basis. Not only does IPR combine both offensive and defensive production, but also it takes into consideration a players negative statistics (i.e. Errors committed, Strikeouts, GIDP, etc...). I do not wish to reveal the equation for two reasons. First, as I iterated above, the weighting is not perfected. Second, IPR could become a very valuable statistic for player evaluation and projection, thus I do not want to have my idea stolen.
The following is a sample of IPR. These are the 2014 season IPR ratings for some of the MLBs premier second basemen:
Jose Altuve (HOU)- 6.81
Dustin Pedroia (BOS)- 6.44
Robinson Cano (SEA)- 6.31
Ian Kinsler (DET)- 6.22
Brian Dozier (MIN)- 6.17
D.J. LeMahieu (COL)- 5.63
As you can see, Jose Altuve has the highest IPR. This comes with no surprise, considering the 2014 campaign he put forth. One reason why I firmly believe there is a high potential for this statistic is the fact that Dustin Pedroia ranks higher than Robinson Cano. Everyone knows that Cano is the better hitter, maybe not by a whole lot, but just enough so that people would mistakingly credit him as a better overall player. Many people mainly judge and compare players purely on their offensive abilities. However, with IPR and its incorporation of defense, Pedroia gains the recognition he deserves, that being he is the overall better second baseman, in comparison with Cano. As I suspected too, the difference between their ratings is negligible, showing that they are very comparable.
Showing posts with label 2014 MLB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2014 MLB. Show all posts
Monday, January 12, 2015
Sunday, November 30, 2014
NetIOR
Despite IOR having its many benefits, in terms of measuring and isolating a hitters individual offensive abilities, I wanted to delve even further into the concept. I had a yearning to manipulate the statistic in such a way, that would help display more underrated players. Upon my experimenting, I believe to have concocted a statistic that performs that precise function. This new variation of IOR, I refer to as NetIOR.
NetIOR considers both the negative and positive aspects of a hitters game. The original IOR equation and description can be referenced via entering the link above this article titled "Matt Lessard Created Statistics Reference Page". The negative aspects I incorporate in the calculation of NetIOR are Strikeouts, Ground Into Double Plays, and Caught Stealing. The equation is as follows:
NetIOR= ((H + HR + BB + SB) - (GDP + CS + K)) / PA
Below is the final NetIOR player ranking for the 2014 MLB campaign. This list includes only the top 100 players from 2014, in terms of NetIOR. In order to even be considered for the ranking, the player must have met the league average, Plate-Appearance per Game mark (3.1 PA/ Game for 2014). Any player who I believe is underrated, I highlighted his name in green. Whereas, any player who I believe had a breakout or comeback season has his name in yellow.
Rk
|
Name
|
PA ▾
|
NetIOR
|
1
|
Victor Martinez#
|
641
|
0.412
|
2
|
Jose Altuve
|
707
|
0.359
|
3
|
Michael Brantley*
|
676
|
0.346
|
4
|
Robinson Cano*
|
665
|
0.313
|
5
|
Jose Bautista
|
673
|
0.308
|
6
|
Ben Revere*
|
626
|
0.296
|
7
|
Adrian Beltre
|
614
|
0.295
|
8
|
Andrew McCutchen
|
648
|
0.293
|
9
|
Denard Span*
|
668
|
0.292
|
10
|
Justin Morneau*
|
550
|
0.275
|
11
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
655
|
0.269
|
12
|
Jose Reyes#
|
655
|
0.267
|
13
|
Buster Posey
|
605
|
0.266
|
14
|
Nori Aoki*
|
549
|
0.264
|
15
|
David Ortiz*
|
602
|
0.262
|
16
|
Coco Crisp#
|
536
|
0.254
|
17
|
Jacoby Ellsbury*
|
635
|
0.254
|
18
|
Anthony Rizzo*
|
616
|
0.250
|
19
|
Melky Cabrera#
|
621
|
0.248
|
20
|
Edwin Encarnacion
|
542
|
0.247
|
21
|
Chase Utley*
|
664
|
0.247
|
22
|
Charlie Blackmon*
|
648
|
0.244
|
23
|
Jason Heyward*
|
649
|
0.243
|
24
|
Jayson Werth
|
629
|
0.243
|
25
|
Albert Pujols
|
695
|
0.243
|
26
|
Ben Zobrist#
|
654
|
0.242
|
27
|
Kurt Suzuki
|
503
|
0.239
|
28
|
Nick Markakis*
|
710
|
0.238
|
29
|
Anthony Rendon
|
683
|
0.236
|
30
|
Erick Aybar#
|
642
|
0.235
|
31
|
Jose Abreu
|
622
|
0.235
|
32
|
Josh Harrison
|
550
|
0.233
|
33
|
Hanley Ramirez
|
512
|
0.232
|
34
|
Matt Holliday
|
667
|
0.231
|
35
|
Matt Carpenter*
|
709
|
0.230
|
36
|
Dee Gordon*
|
650
|
0.228
|
37
|
Yangervis Solarte#
|
535
|
0.221
|
38
|
Miguel Cabrera
|
685
|
0.220
|
39
|
Adam LaRoche*
|
586
|
0.220
|
40
|
Giancarlo Stanton
|
638
|
0.218
|
41
|
Jimmy Rollins#
|
609
|
0.215
|
42
|
Yasiel Puig
|
640
|
0.213
|
43
|
Adam Eaton*
|
538
|
0.212
|
44
|
Seth Smith*
|
521
|
0.211
|
45
|
Carlos Santana#
|
660
|
0.211
|
46
|
Neil Walker#
|
571
|
0.210
|
47
|
Ian Kinsler
|
726
|
0.209
|
48
|
Alcides Escobar
|
620
|
0.206
|
49
|
Daniel Murphy*
|
642
|
0.206
|
50
|
James Loney*
|
651
|
0.204
|
51
|
Brian Dozier
|
707
|
0.204
|
52
|
Dustin Pedroia
|
609
|
0.204
|
53
|
Pablo Sandoval#
|
638
|
0.201
|
54
|
Adrian Gonzalez*
|
660
|
0.200
|
55
|
Yunel Escobar
|
529
|
0.198
|
56
|
Alexei Ramirez
|
657
|
0.198
|
57
|
Howie Kendrick
|
674
|
0.196
|
58
|
Josh Donaldson
|
695
|
0.193
|
59
|
Aramis Ramirez
|
531
|
0.192
|
60
|
Carlos Gomez
|
644
|
0.191
|
61
|
Alex Gordon*
|
643
|
0.190
|
62
|
Joe Mauer*
|
518
|
0.189
|
63
|
Omar Infante
|
575
|
0.188
|
64
|
Mike Trout
|
705
|
0.187
|
65
|
Conor Gillaspie*
|
506
|
0.186
|
66
|
Freddie Freeman*
|
708
|
0.185
|
67
|
Dexter Fowler#
|
505
|
0.182
|
68
|
Kyle Seager*
|
654
|
0.180
|
69
|
Dioner Navarro#
|
520
|
0.179
|
70
|
Christian Yelich*
|
660
|
0.179
|
71
|
Todd Frazier
|
660
|
0.177
|
72
|
Casey McGehee
|
691
|
0.175
|
73
|
Jed Lowrie#
|
566
|
0.175
|
74
|
Lucas Duda*
|
596
|
0.173
|
75
|
Lonnie Chisenhall*
|
533
|
0.173
|
76
|
Jean Segura
|
557
|
0.172
|
77
|
Hunter Pence
|
708
|
0.172
|
78
|
Nelson Cruz
|
678
|
0.171
|
79
|
Martin Prado
|
573
|
0.171
|
80
|
Miguel Montero*
|
560
|
0.170
|
81
|
Leonys Martin*
|
583
|
0.168
|
82
|
Torii Hunter
|
586
|
0.167
|
83
|
Jordy Mercer
|
555
|
0.166
|
84
|
Jhonny Peralta
|
628
|
0.166
|
85
|
Starling Marte
|
545
|
0.165
|
86
|
Starlin Castro
|
569
|
0.163
|
87
|
Evan Longoria
|
700
|
0.163
|
88
|
Elvis Andrus
|
685
|
0.159
|
89
|
Billy Hamilton#
|
611
|
0.159
|
90
|
Brian McCann*
|
538
|
0.158
|
91
|
Derek Jeter
|
634
|
0.158
|
92
|
Brett Gardner*
|
636
|
0.157
|
93
|
Kole Calhoun*
|
537
|
0.156
|
94
|
Andrelton Simmons
|
576
|
0.155
|
95
|
Eric Hosmer*
|
547
|
0.154
|
96
|
Luis Valbuena*
|
547
|
0.154
|
97
|
Adam Jones
|
682
|
0.152
|
98
|
Jason Kipnis*
|
555
|
0.151
|
99
|
Curtis Granderson*
|
654
|
0.150
|
100
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
582
|
0.149
|
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